Cooling risks for poor

Cooling access gaps by income group

Chilling Prospects tracks global cooling access gaps among 76 countries, including 54 high-impact countries and 22 countries not considered high impact, but with high-temperature regions. It disaggregates the data by income group, which is strongly influenced by energy access levels.

The rural poor are those living under the international poverty line and who lack access to electricity and services provided by cold chains in rural settings, while the urban poor similarly live below the international poverty line. While they may have some access to electricity, housing quality is likely to be poor. Their income may not be sufficient to purchase or run a fan.

The population in high-temperature environments living on less than USD 10.01/day but outside of poverty are the lower-middle income. Those living in high-temperature environments between USD 10.01 and USD 20.01 are the middle income. (see: Risk indicator criteria)

Impact of revised poverty data

Updated data on global poverty, with newly available surveys and a revision of the international poverty line from USD 1.90 to USD 2.15 per day, resulted in a downward revision of the middle-income group compared to the Chilling Prospects 2022 analysis, reflecting a downward adjustment in extreme poverty estimates in the 77 countries compared to previous SEforALL analysis and an upward revision of the lower-middle income group.

Risk indicator criteria

Rural poor
Lack of access to energy
Population living in rural areas on less than USD 2.15/day

Urban poor
Lack of access to energy
Population living in urban slums on less than USD 2.15/day

Lower-middle-income
Population living on less than USD 10.01/day outside of rural and urban poverty

Middle-income
Population living on between USD 10.01/day and USD 20.00/day