Designing effective end-user subsidies to close the electricity affordability gap

News

Electricity access remains a significant global challenge, with only incremental progress made to date towards achieving Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7) – access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all by 2030.

The affordability of electricity plays an important role in determining whether households gain and maintain access to electricity. Closing electricity access gaps therefore requires special attention to supporting affordability.

New research published by Sustainable Energy for All in partnership with Climate Policy Initiative examines this issue in-depth, particularly how subsidies can support affordability. The Role of End-User Subsidies in Closing the Affordability Gap assesses three end-user subsidy programmes – in Ghana, Uganda and Togo – and builds on existing literature regarding the development and implementation of end-user subsidies for solar home systems.

Based on analysis of the three subsidy programmes, the brief outlines a set of attributes key to end-user subsidy design – financing structure; delivery modality and implementers; technology targeted; market targeting mechanism; verification system; and target market – and identifies the various methods available to build each component.

Ghana

The Ghana Energy Development Access Project launched the Improving Rural Energy Access through Solar Home Systems programme in 2010. The programme is widely seen as a success – likely the result of accurately calculating the subsidy thresholds for different regions in the country and targeting those populations that needed the subsidy the most. The programme also demonstrates the benefits of working with reliable third parties; the inclusion of both the Association of Ghana Solar Industries and rural banks were programme strengths.

Uganda

The Energy for Rural Transformation (ERT) Subsidy programme has been implemented jointly by the Ugandan Government and the World Bank since 2002. The programme has suffered from structural challenges, although the lack of transparency around it has made specific identification of these challenges difficult. Given the information publicly available on the programme, it appears likely the programme’s challenges may have been due to a more complicated subsidy value than the Ghana programme and more stringent verification requirements that led to delayed payments. Furthermore, high prices and private companies’ capacity limitations to deliver high-quality products of high quality led to consumer distrust.

Togo

The Togo government launched the CIZO project to enact enabling environment supply-side and demand-side interventions. Various multilateral institutions such as the European Union and African Development Bank have provided financing for the initiative (EUR 10 million and EUR 12 million, respectively). Implementation of the programme has been slow despite the use of digital technology to verify installations and beneficiaries and provide the monthly subsidy payments. The programme is relatively new so drawing conclusions at this stage is challenging, but early indications are that accurately calculating the affordability gap for SHS products could be a key factor in determining the correct subsidy threshold for increased uptake.

Key takeaways from existing subsidy programmes

The assessment of these programmes suggests effectively employing the menu of design attributes available to policymakers is critical to effectively target and verify beneficiaries while also determining the right threshold of the subsidy being provided.

The brief highlights crucial ongoing data and information issues that must be addressed at the national level to effectively design targeted, efficient subsidy programmes. Most notably, the difference between a successful and unsuccessful end-user subsidy programme is heavily influenced by consumer affordability estimates. This is how entities would determine which markets to enter, what would be the required concessionality to crowd in investment for an initiative from the private sector, and which subsidy thresholds for a technology would lead to increased uptake.

Therefore, the brief recommends that researchers advance a modified energy burden threshold for measuring the affordability gap in developing and emerging economies. An energy burden threshold is the percentage of household income spent on energy costs. Spending on energy beyond the defined percentage is called an energy burden. This threshold is used to determine affordability gap calculations at the moment.

This brief argues that the energy burden, which is defined by certain researchers as 6 percent or higher, is probably not accurate in a developing country context and needs revision based on market conditions and the type of technology.  

Policymakers should also invest resources to improve data on several fronts: demographic data to more accurately target subsidies, technology, and access tier data to assess the potential for phases interventions of subsidies, and household consumption data to minimize potential for market distortion.

The Role of End-User Subsidies in Closing the Affordability Gap

Knowledge brief
affordability

Designing effective, efficient and supportive end-user subsidy programmes is a complicated process that relies on significant data and information, including an accurate understanding of the affordability gap in the targeted country or region. This brief builds on the existing literature regarding the development and implementation of end-user subsidies for SHSs. Its purpose is to: a) survey efforts to develop and advance a methodology to assess the affordability gap and the implied level of end-user subsidy required by the market, b) utilize case studies to map key attributes of subsidy design and demonstrate what these attributes look like in practice, and c) identify key data points required to accurately determine subsidy thresholds and targeting mechanisms to improve the success of subsidy programmes moving forward.

To demonstrate how the different attributes of subsidy design function for SHSs in practice, this brief considers three case studies: one from a relatively mature electricity market (Ghana) and two from emerging electricity markets (Uganda and Togo). The end-user subsidy programmes implemented in each country were also assessed on whether they directly addressed the affordability gap challenge in rural regions outside of potential grid connections.

This report is part of the series:  Energizing Finance

State of the Global Mini-grids Market Report 2020

State of the Global Mini-grids Market Report 2020 is a Mini-Grids Partnership report published by BloombergNEF and Sustainable Energy for All (SEforALL).  

The report aims to raise awareness about mini-grids, mobilizing investments in the mini-grid sector and serving as a benchmark to measure progress in the sector for decision-makers. It provides the latest updates on the global mini-grids market and highlights key trends in the industry that, together, can stand as the definitive source of information for stakeholders.  

The insights found in the report were developed through literature reviews, quantitative analysis and, importantly, interviews with 68 organizations to collect information and data from mini-grid developers, financiers, donor agencies, research institutes, non-profit organizations and technology vendors. Therefore, this report represents an important cross-institutional collaboration to provide a detailed look at the state of the mini-grids sector.

The authors also conducted case studies of six countries - Uganda, Tanzania, Nigeria, India (Bihar), the Philippines and Indonesia.

Follow the Mini-Grids Partnership on Twitter

Divine Bamboo creating local market for clean cooking in Uganda

SDG7 News

In a series of stories, we are profiling the four winners of the 2020 Energy Access Booster Award, offered to entrepreneurs operating in Africa and Asia, with a focus on two sectors: clean cooking and waste-to-energy. The awards are sponsored by TOTAL, ENEA Consulting, Acumen and Sustainable Energy for All (SEforALL).

Highlights

Divine Bamboo’s mission is to stop deforestation in Uganda through the promotion of fast-growing local bamboo species to produce clean cooking fuel in the form of bamboo-based briquettes.



Advantages: Bamboo briquettes have the potential to reduce household fuel expenditure by 50 percent compared to traditional charcoal, while burning cleaner and alleviating deforestation for firewood.
Approximately 42 million people in Uganda currently have no access to clean fuels or technologies, according to "Tracking SDG7: The Energy Progress Report 2019"

Divine Nabaweesi doesn’t need statistics to tell her that her country suffers from a lack of clean cooking options.

Never mind that Tracking SDG7: The Energy Progress Report 2019 identified Uganda as among 20 countries worldwide with the largest access deficits for clean cooking, with less than 5 percent of the population using clean fuels and technologies as their primary means of cooking.

Uganda’s clean cooking problem has been all too apparent to Nabaweesi since she was a child. “Growing up in a small village in rural Uganda, I witnessed first-hand the perils of cooking with ‘unclean’ fuels like firewood that African women face daily,” she says.

Among these perils were the negative health effects from exposure to fumes from burning firewood—consequences that disproportionately affect women—and the widespread deforestation of the natural environment Nabaweesi cherished.  

First-hand experience drove Nabaweesi to found Divine Bamboo, a social enterprise with a mission to stop deforestation in Uganda through the promotion of fast-growing local bamboo species to produce clean cooking fuel in the form of bamboo-based briquettes.

“I learned about the numerous uses of bamboo which is indigenous to Uganda and realized that bamboo can be transformed into both charcoal and briquettes that would be an affordable and clean cooking alternative,” she says.

Bamboo is a fast-growing, annually yielding and self-regenerating biomass, making it an ecologically sustainable alternative to tree biomass from natural forests, Nabaweesi explains. Cultivated bamboo can then be processed and converted into briquettes that have a higher calorific value than traditional charcoal and firewood.

Nabaweesi says that Divine Bamboo’s briquettes have been tested and proven to have technically competitive heating properties by the Centre for Research in Energy Efficiency and Conservation. The higher efficiency of bamboo briquettes means Divine Bamboo’s product has the potential to reduce household fuel expenditure by 50 percent compared to traditional charcoal (USD 0.32 per kilogram for bamboo briquettes versus USD 0.64 for charcoal). The briquettes also produce less soot and smoke compared to charcoal and firewood, alleviating negative health and respiratory effects on people.

Since its inception in 2016, Divine Bamboo has become the largest producer of bamboo seedlings in Uganda with a capacity of 400,000 seedlings annually. It has planted approximately 25 hectares of bamboo while working with local farmers and individual tree growers to establish a bamboo briquette value chain that contributes to local economic development.

“We have trained 350 small-scale farmers, mainly women and youth, about the establishment of bamboo plantations and production of bamboo briquettes,” Nabaweesi explains. “We shared knowledge with them on how to grow bamboo as an agro-forestry crop alongside their already existing crops.”

The combination of social, environmental and economic benefits that Divine Bamboo offers through its bamboo briquette value chain was the reason it was recently selected for an Energy Access Booster Award.

Divine Bamboo applied for the award—which offers up to USD 50,000 in financial support as well as strategic business consulting—so that it can reach commercial scale for producing its briquettes. After being selected as one of four award recipients, Nabaweesi says the company will be able to “scale production to four tonnes of briquettes per month by acquiring automated production equipment and hiring additional technical staff.”

By reaching commercial scale with its production capabilities, Divine Bamboo will increase demand for local bamboo, giving farmers new opportunities to supply a sought-after crop, thereby creating jobs. Meanwhile, the farmers’ crops will be converted to a consumer product that ultimately benefits local people as a cheaper and cleaner cooking solution, as well as the environment by curbing deforestation.

Therefore, the Energy Access Booster Award will help Divine Bamboo achieve its five-year goals of reducing charcoal and firewood consumption from unsustainable sources by 20 percent in Kampala, employing at least 300 people directly and indirectly, and training a further 250 people in the entire bamboo briquette value chain.

These will be important steps towards creating new markets for clean fuels and technologies in Uganda, which are needed for approximately 42 million people who currently have no access to clean cooking.  

Energizing Finance: Taking the Pulse 2019 - Madagascar, the Philippines and Uganda

Taking the Pulse 2019 details the energy access financing challenge faced in three countries: Madagascar, the Philippines and Uganda. The report provides crucial insights into how national contexts shape finance flows for electricity and clean cooking access. Each of these countries has its own unique set of energy needs, existing infrastructure, policies and regulations.

The report finds that USD 6.4 billion in aggregate investment is needed by 2030 in the three focus countries to deliver the mini-grid, stand-alone solar and improved cookstove solutions that will enable Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG7).

The report also probes what kind of capital this is, providing estimates of the different grant, equity, debt and affordability gap financing that will be necessary to deliver these energy access solutions.

See also: Energizing Finance series

This report is part of the series:  Energizing Finance

Madagascar Country Study

Plans by the Government of Madagascar to expand electricity access have been constrained in recent years by slow expansion of the electricity grid. While grid service remains largely unchanged since 2010 at 11 percent, stand-alone solar for households has begun to transform the electricity market in the country, providing electricity to almost 10 percent of households, which represents almost half of the households with energy access. New grid connections are expected to reach an additional 600,000 households by 2030 (increasing grid access by 2.4 percent).

If Madagascar follows a business as usual (BAU) scenario—allowing markets to continue developing based on current levels of support from the private sector, government agencies and development partners—grid coverage would actually decline to cover 9 percent of households by 2030 since the current pace of grid expansion is not keeping up with population growth.

Madagascar has the largest clean cooking deficit in Africa, with less than 1 percent of households using clean fuels, and a fraction of a percent of households using improved wood or charcoal stoves.

For closing the access gap in Madagascar USD 2.3 billion is required for off-grid electricity and improved cooking solutions.

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Philippines Country Study

The Government of the Philippines has made universal electrification a national priority and has an urbanization rate over 50 percent, which helps to explain why it has already achieved nearly 90 per-cent household electrification and universal electrification of all municipalities. Off-grid electrification has been central to accomplishing this since the Philippines’ island geography makes achieving universal electrification through grid extension too costly. As such, mini-grids and stand-alone systems have a critical role to play. While mini-grids in particular have transformed the electricity market in the Philippines, universal access by 2030 will still require acceleration across grid-based and off-grid technologies to keep pace with rapid population growth.

If the Philippines follows a business as usual scenario, allowing markets to continue developing based on current levels of support from government agencies and development partners, grid coverage would remain relatively unchanged by 2030, with 82 percent of households electrified.

For closing the access gap in the Philippines USD 1.8 billion are required for off-grid electricity and improved cooking solutions.

See also: Off-grid solar solutions: The pathway to 100 percent electrification in the Philippines

Uganda Country Study

Uganda has made solid progress in expanding electricity access in recent years, aided by rapid growth in the market for stand-alone household solutions and steady expansion of the electricity grid. When combined, the existing electricity grid, mini-grids, and stand-alone solar currently provide electricity to almost 38 percent of households in Uganda, leaving an access deficit of 62 percent. In looking towards the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG7) target date of universal access129 by 2030, grid expansion will play a significant role in closing the electrification access gap; this report forecasts 4.7 million new grid connections, representing a fourfold increase in annual connections compared to recent connection trends. Uganda currently only has 11 operational mini-grids, servicing approximately 4,000 households. Development of the mini-grid sector has been hampered by an unclear regulatory framework that has limited private sector participation, while public resources have focused on the expansion and densification of the main electricity grid.

Ninety-five percent of all Ugandan households rely on charcoal, wood, or other forms of biomass for their household cooking needs.130 Despite this, ICS use remains extremely low at around 1 percent. The use of clean fuels (such as liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), biogas, and ethanol) also remains under 1 percent. 

For closing the access gap in Uganda USD 2.3 billion are required for off-grid electricity and improved cooking solutions.

Electrification in Uganda

We look at how Uganda is increasing accessibility to sustainable energy solutions for the country, highlighting what can be done with political will and private sector mobilization.
SDG7 News

Finance for electricity in 20 high-impact countries averaged USD 30.2 billion per year over 2015-16, a USD 10.8 billion increase from the annual investment in 2013-14. However, this figure remains lower than the required annual investment of USD 52 billion needed to provide universal electricity access by 2030, of which 95% needs to be realized in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Finance for electricity access in the 20 high-impact countries

Finance for electricity

Percentage of population without access to electricity, total finance tracked in 2015-16 (in USD billion) and changes from 2013-14
Source: Access figures based on World Bank Indicators

Uganda is the only country where a significant increase in renewable energy financing was identified in our 2018 Energizing Finance: Understanding the Landscape report, increasing from USD 270 million per year in 2013-14 to USD 600 million in 2015-16.

Investment in transmission and distribution remained proportionally significant across the Sub-Saharan African high-impact countries, increasing by USD 300 million to USD 1.5 billion per year in 2015-16. Ethiopia, Tanzania and Uganda saw the largest increase.

Although still small within the total picture, finance for off-grid electricity generation in Sub-Saharan Africa increased fivefold to USD 200 million per year in 2015-16, driven by solar off-grid companies in maturing markets like Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania and Uganda.

Of all the finance tracked in Sub-Saharan Africa, bilateral and multilateral development finance institutions provided slightly more than 50% (USD 2.6 billion annually), three quarters of this with concessional terms. Notably, total concessional development finance over 2015-16 increased by USD 300 million compared to 2013-14, mostly supporting transmission and distribution (55% or USD 1 billion per year) and renewable energy projects (21%, or USD 400 million).

This film was produced by Sustainable Energy for All with financial support of the European Union.

Country

Uganda

Women Energy Entrepreneurs Need Financing to Reach Vulnerable Populations

By Aneri Pradhan, Founder and Executive Director ENVenture
News

This blog post is part of a series Sustainable Energy for All (SEforALL) is running throughout March related to our work and partners from the People-Centered Accelerator. The series has been timed to coincide with International Women’s Day on March 8, 2018.

“If energy poverty had a face, it would be of a brown or black woman. And yet, there is a large gap of financing available for women energy entrepreneurs who have faced the problem first-hand. As we celebrate International Women’s Day this month, we must acknowledge that ecosystem support services for women entrepreneurs is critical for achieving energy access objectives under Sustainable Development Goal 7.

Currently, energy access investors have been focused on picking winners – so-called unicorns –that can scale their services to reach millions of customers. However, with 1.06 billion people still lacking access to basic electricity, many of them women living in urban slums and rural areas in Africa and Asia, a combination of unicorns and zebras (typically female-founded businesses that have slower growth, but sustainable returns) is needed to achieve SDG7, which calls for universal access to sustainable energy by 2030.

Regardless of the wealth and advancement of their economies, according to the Mastercard Index of Women Entrepreneurs, countries that have favourable entrepreneurial conditions for Small Medium Enterprises (SMEs) and good governance tend to have more women business owners. The backing of local SME financiers, local intermediaries and providing cheaper debt capital are a few ways to make energy investments more inclusive.

SMEs are the engines that drive an economy’s growth, create jobs, and are conducive for women in the workforce. Furthermore, when women energy entrepreneurs do receive financing, they create innovative approaches to furthering energy access to so-called ‘last mile’ populations, such as tapping into Self Help Groups, Village Loans and Savings Associations, Cooperatives, Community Based Organizations, schools and other institutions.

The lack of access to financing has long been identified as the biggest barrier for achieving SDG7 goals, especially in Least Developed Countries. Much of the capital flowing to renewable energy sectors in these countries is geared towards large-scale, infrastructure projects. Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) are a key stakeholder, filling the gap where the private sector is reluctant to participate.

Gender disparities, however, remain quite clear in terms of access to finance and investment flows. Women-owned businesses in developing countries typically are smaller businesses. Energy businesses popular with women, such as pico solar lantern distribution, retail, and small-scale production in briquettes and cooking stoves, tend to have low revenue and operate with slim margins. They are typically funded by grants rather than investment capital, making it difficult for micro and small businesses to grow. Most Microfinance Institutions have not supported energy entrepreneurs at the scale originally envisioned due to lack of expertise and experience with energy lending.

Tailored incubators and accelerators, such as ENVenture in Uganda, support local energy entrepreneurs by helping to make connections, facilitate introductions, extend networks, and provide mentorship. This type of facility especially supports women energy entrepreneurs in developing countries who typically require more training and financial literacy programs to improve their business growth. The key, however, is to offer both financing and mentorship. Without mentorship, many entrepreneurs become stuck in the difficulties of running a business and may use financing unwisely. Similarly, an entrepreneur who receives mentorship, but has difficulty accessing financing, is a creating a road leading to nowhere. Both are necessary for entrepreneurs to succeed.

Another way that ENVenture is tackling these issues is by partnering with Sustainable Energy for All on its People-Centered Accelerator, a global initiative aimed at advancing gender equality, social inclusion and women’s empowerment in the sustainable energy sector. Unlocking finance and collaborative mentoring are key priorities for the Accelerator, which is especially focused on delivering clean, affordable energy to under-served ‘last-mile’ populations.

Investing in women is not just altruistic; it makes good business sense and will increase access to modern energy. Global investments in women entrepreneurs are already extremely low; investors must not fall into the same pattern when investing in energy access. This is a uniquely gendered market that requires equal participation of women and men for universal energy access goals to truly be achieved.

 

To find out more about joining the People-Centered Accelerator, or any other partnership opportunity with SEforALL, please email partnerships@SEforALL.org

Read more on the Accelerator here and follow #SDG7AllEqual for the latest.